November 7, 2012
Nate Silver Wasn’t the Only One to Nail the Election—Nor Was He the First

Let’s assume that Florida continues in the same direction and Obama wins it. With those 29 electoral votes, he’ll have 332 total. You’re going to hear a lot of praise for Nate Silver in the next couple of days; in fact, you’re probably already sick of hearing about him. Silver correctly predicted 332 based on states, although his model ended up at 313 votes. But he’s not the only one who really nailed it. See also:Sam Wang,Drew Linzer,Josh Putnam, and Markos Moulitsas. In fact, Linzer’s model has been hovering in that range for months!
Interestingly, the greatest number of predictions came just under that — guessing Obama would take between 290 and 309 votes.

Read more. 

Nate Silver Wasn’t the Only One to Nail the Election—Nor Was He the First

Let’s assume that Florida continues in the same direction and Obama wins it. With those 29 electoral votes, he’ll have 332 total. You’re going to hear a lot of praise for Nate Silver in the next couple of days; in fact, you’re probably already sick of hearing about him. Silver correctly predicted 332 based on states, although his model ended up at 313 votes. But he’s not the only one who really nailed it. See also:Sam Wang,Drew Linzer,Josh Putnam, and Markos Moulitsas. In fact, Linzer’s model has been hovering in that range for months!

Interestingly, the greatest number of predictions came just under that — guessing Obama would take between 290 and 309 votes.

Read more. 

  1. tiradesfromamanoutsideoftime reblogged this from pantslessprogressive
  2. lmbirdso reblogged this from theatlantic
  3. natesilverfangirls reblogged this from theatlantic
  4. americantaitai reblogged this from theatlantic and added:
    Nate Silver’s got some company on nailing 332… #NateSilverFacts
  5. theatlantic posted this